The polls close Saturday at 5 p.m. for the Oscar nominations in one of the most confusing years ever. Here’s my latest round of predictions in the major categories. It seems to me the titles with the biggest forward momentum are “Juno” (which has been the top-ticket seller every day since Sunday) and “There Will Be Blood,” which is doing far better business than anyone could have expected. Perhaps the biggest surprise will come in the fifth slot for Best Actor. I’m guessing that Viggo Mortensen will replace my previous choice, Denzel Washington, but it could just as easily be Emile Hirsch of “Into the Wild.” I’ll update after the Golden Globes (see post below for a link to my predictions there).
BEST PICTURE
1. Juno (lock)
2. No Country For Old Men (lock)
3. There Will Be Blood
4. Michael Clayton
5. Atonement
BEST DIRECTOR
1. Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country For Old Men (lock)
2. Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
3. Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4. Sean Penn, Into the Wild
5. Joe Wright, Atonement
BEST ACTOR
1. Daniel-Day Lewis, There Will Be Blood (lock and probable winner)
2. George Clooney, Michael Clayton (lock)
3. James McAvoy, Atonement
4. Johnnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
5. Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
BEST ACTRESS
1. Ellen Page, Juno (lock)
2. Julie Christie, Away From Her (lock)
3. Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose (lock)
4. Keira Knightley, Atonement
5. Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart
SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men (lock and probable winner)
2. Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton (lock)
3. Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood
4. Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
5. Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson’s War
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone (lock)
2. Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There (lock)
3. Jennifer Garner, Juno
4. Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
5. Saorise Ronan, Atonement
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Diablo Cody, Juno
2. Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
3. Brad Bird, Ratatouille
4. Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
5. Kelly Masterson, Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
2. Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
3. Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4. Sean Penn, Into the Wild
5. Christopher Hampton, Atonement
[Source : Movies]
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